In November 2018, the EIA estimated that US crude oil production would exceed the 12-million-bpd mark in the second quarter of 2019, Oil Price reported.
Earlier forecasts had showed that the 12-million-bpd threshold would be surpassed only in the fourth quarter of this year.
US crude oil exports also hit an all-time high in the week to February 15—at 3.607 million bpd, beating the previous record of 3.203 million bpd set in the last week of November 2018, EIA data showed.
In its February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) published last week, the EIA estimates that US crude oil production averaged 12.0 million bpd in January, up 90,000 bpd from December.
The EIA now sees US crude oil production averaging 12.4 million bpd this year and 13.2 million bpd next year, and most of the growth would come from the Permian.
In the Permian, the EIA estimates in its monthly Drilling Productivity Report published this week that crude oil production is set to rise above 4 million bpd in March for the first time in history.
This month, the fastest-growing shale play in the United States is producing an estimated average of 3.981 million bpd, which is set to expand by 43,000 bpd in March, to 4.024 million bpd.